THE ROLE OF BUSINESS TRUST, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN G20 COUNTRIES
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the condition of business trust, consumer trust, rule of law, developments in technology,
information, and communication, and their influence on ASEAN economic growth. The data used is panel data
consisting of time series data for 2009 – 2020 and a cross-section of 10 countries with the highest level of business
confidence in G20 Member countries. The variables used are economic growth, conditions of business trust,
consumer confidence, rule of law, development of technology, information, and communication. The analytical
tool used is panel data regression, namely the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). An increase in business confidence and
consumer confidence will have an impact on increasing economic growth. In the research results, business trust has the most influence.
Keywords: Economic Growth, Conditions of Business Trust, and Consumer Confidence.
Abstrak
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kondisi kepercayaan bisnis, kepercayaan konsumen, supremasi hukum, perkembangan teknologi, informasi, dan komunikasi, serta pengaruhnya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi ASEAN. Data yang digunakan adalah data panel yang terdiri dari data time series tahun 2009 – 2020 dan cross section dari 10 negara dengan tingkat kepercayaan bisnis tertinggi di negara-negara Anggota G20. Variabel yang digunakan adalah pertumbuhan ekonomi, kondisi kepercayaan bisnis, kepercayaan konsumen, supremasi hukum, perkembangan teknologi, informasi, dan komunikasi. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel yaitu Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Meningkatnya kepercayaan bisnis dan kepercayaan konsumen akan berdampak pada peningkatan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Dalam hasil penelitian, kepercayaan bisnis memiliki pengaruh paling besar.
Kata Kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Kepercayaan Bisnis, dan Kepercayaan Konsumen.
References
Ahmed, E. M., & Ridzuan, R. (2013). The Impact of ICT on East Asian Economic Growth: Panel Estimation Approach. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 4(4), 540–555. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-012-0096-5
Baltagi, B. H. (2015). The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data. Oxford University Press.
Bjørnskov, C. (2012). How Does Social Trust Affect Economic Growth? Southern Economic Journal, 78(4), 1346–1368. https://doi.org/10.4284/0038-4038-78.4.1346
Coetzee, C. (2014). Relationship between Business Confidence Indicators and Real GDP? - A Regional Spatial Panel Approach. September. https://doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4446.8489
Cortés, E. A., & Navarro, J. L. A. (2011). Do ICT Influence Economic Growth and Human Development in European Union Countries? International Advances in Economic Research, 17(1), 28–44. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11294-010-9289-5
Greene, W. H. (2018). Econometric Analysis (8th ed.). New York University.
Haggard, S., & Tiede, L. (2011). The Rule of Law and Economic Growth: Where are We? World Development, 39(5), 673–685. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.10.007
Ibrahim, A., Bawa, S., Abdullahi, I. S., Didigu, C. E., & Mainasara, S. S. (2015). Consumer Confidence Indicators and Economic Fluctuations in Nigeria. 6(1), 285–300.
Islam, T. U. (2016). Consumer Confidence Index and Economic Growth : An Empirical Analysis of EuroEconomica Consumer Confidence Index and Economic Growth : An Empirical Analysis of EU Countries. EuroEconomica, 35(2).
Jongh, J. de, & Mncayi, P. (2018). An econometric analysis on the impact of business confidence and investment on economic growth in post-apartheid South Africa. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 10(1), 115–133.
Luong, K. Van, & Vixathep, S. (2016). Business Confidence Index : A Reflection of Business Sentiment in Viet Nam. Journal of International Cooperation Studies, 23(2), 1–28.
Madlopha, K. (2019). The Nexus between Consumer Confidence and Economic Growth in South Africa: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 11(2(J)), 15–22. https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v11i2(j).2814
Mankiw, G. N. (2018). Principles of Microeconomics. Cengage Learning.
Mankiw, G. N., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477
Marshall, A. (2013). Principle of Economics. In Palgrave Macmillan (8th ed.).
Nasab, E. H., & Aghaei, M. (2009). The Effect of ICT on Economic Growth: Further Evidence. International Bulletin of Business Administration, 10(5), 46–56.
Niebel, T. (2018). ICT and economic growth – Comparing developing, emerging, and developed countries. World Development, 104, 197–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.11.024
Rath, B. N., & Hermawan, D. (2019). Do information and communication technologies foster economic growth in Indonesia? Buletin Ekonomi Moneter Dan Perbankan, 22(1), 103–121. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v22i1.1041
Sassi, S., & Goaied, M. (2013). Financial development, ICT diffusion, and economic growth: Lessons from MENA region. Telecommunications Policy, 37(4–5), 252–261. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2012.12.004
Sergeant, K. A., Lugay, B., & Dookie, M. (2012). Consumer confidence and economic growth: case studies of Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago. Project Document, 1–29.
Suryanggono, B. (2013). Pengaruh Modal Sosial Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Provinsi Di Indonesia : Analisis Data Susenas 2009. Kinerja, 17(2), 145–157.
Toader, E., Firtescu, B. N., Roman, A., & Anton, S. G. (2018). Impact of information and communication technology infrastructure on economic growth: An empirical assessment for the EU countries. Sustainability (Switzerland), 10(10), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10103750
Utaka, A. (2003). Confidence and the real economy - The Japanese case. Applied Economics, 35(3), 337–342. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840210135205
Valcke, A. (2012). The Rule of Law: Its Origins and Meanings (A Short Guide for Practitioners). Encyclopedia of Global Social Science Issues. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2042336
Download Pdf : 299 times
Copyright (c) 2021 Hardiansa Nur Syahputra, Marselina Marselina, Neli Aida
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
MBIA Universitas Bina Darma Jalan Jend. A. Yani 13 Ulu Palembang
MBIA by http://journal.binadarma.ac.id/index.php/mbia is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.